Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards

Welcome to Prediction Central 2012, the place for prognostications about the 83 Academy Awards. Find Editor James A. Molnar's predictions, along with the actual winners, announced on Feb. 26.

Created Thursday, Dec. 15, 2011 // Updated Monday, Feb. 27, 2012

Welcome to Prediction Central, the place for prognostications about the 84th Academy Awards®. Editor James A. Molnar's predicted winners are below, in blue and bold. Winners, announced on Feb. 26, are also marked below. Molnar correctly predicted 13/24 categories (54%) — ouch! Find our team's full predictions on our downloadable ballot.

Winning Tally Prediction
"Hugo": 2/11 5/11 || "The Artist": 4/10 5/10 || "Moneyball": 0/6
"War Horse": 1/6 0/6 || "The Descendants": 1/5 || "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo": 0/5 1/5
"The Help": 2/4 1/4 || "Midnight in Paris": 1/4 || "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy": 0/3


Best Picture √ Correct
"The Artist," Thomas Langmann, Producer
"The Descendants," Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Producers
"Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close," Scott Rudin, Producer
"The Help," Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, Producers
"Hugo," Graham King and Martin Scorsese, Producers #2
"Midnight in Paris," Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, Producers
"Moneyball," Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, Producers
"The Tree of Life," Sarah Green, Bill Pohlad, Dede Gardner and Grant Hill, Producers
"War Horse," Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers

The inclusion of "Extremely Loud," "The Tree of Life" and "War Horse" were surprising and unexpected, especially the first film. But with a flexible 5-10 nominations, it was possible for these films to make the cut.

Best Director √ Correct
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Terrence Malick, "The Tree of Life"
Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo" #2

Best Actor in a Leading Role √ Correct
Demián Bichir, "A Better Life"
George Clooney, "The Descendants"  #2
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Gary Oldman, "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Originally predicted Clooney, as of Jan. 24. 

Best Actress in a Leading Role X Incorrect
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady" #2
Michelle Williams, "My Week with Marilyn"

Best Actor in a Supporting Role √ Correct
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week with Marilyn"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"
Nick Nolte, "Warrior"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Max von Sydow, "Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close" #2
    Best Actress in a Supporting Role √ Correct
    Bérénice Bejo in "The Artist"
    Jessica Chastain in "The Help"
    Melissa McCarthy in "Bridesmaids" #2
    Janet McTeer in "Albert Nobbs"
    Octavia Spencer in "The Help"

    Best Writing — Adapted Screenplay √ Correct
    "The Descendants": Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
    "Hugo": Screenplay by John Logan
    "The Ides of March": Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
    "Moneyball": Screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin #2
    "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy": Screenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan
    Originally predicted "Hugo," as of Jan. 24.

    Best Writing — Original Screenplay √ Correct
    "The Artist": Written by Michel Hazanavicius #2
    "Bridesmaids": Written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig
    "Margin Call": Written by J.C. Chandor
    "Midnight in Paris": Written by Woody Allen
    "A Separation": Written by Asghar Farhadi
      Best Animated Feature Film √ Correct
      "A Cat in Paris," Alain Gagnol and Jean-Loup Felicioli #2
      "Chico & Rita," Fernando Trueba and Javier Mariscal
      "Kung Fu Panda 2," Jennifer Yuh Nelson
      "Puss in Boots," Chris Miller
      "Rango," Gore Verbinski

      Best Art Direction √ Correct
      "The Artist," Production Design: Laurence Bennett; Set Decoration: Robert Gould
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan #2
      "Hugo," Production Design: Dante Ferretti; Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo
      "Midnight in Paris," Production Design: Anne Seibel; Set Decoration: Hélène Dubreuil
      "War Horse," Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales

      Best Cinematography X Incorrect
      "The Artist," Guillaume Schiffman
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Jeff Cronenweth
      "Hugo," Robert Richardson #2
      "The Tree of Life," Emmanuel Lubezki
      "War Horse," Janusz Kaminski
      Originally predicted "Hugo," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Costume Design X Incorrect
      "Anonymous," Lisy Christl
      "The Artist," Mark Bridges
      "Hugo," Sandy Powell #2
      "Jane Eyre," Michael O'Connor
      "W.E.," Arianne Phillips

      Best Documentary — Feature X Incorrect
      "Hell and Back Again," Danfung Dennis and Mike Lerner
      "If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front," Marshall Curry and Sam Cullman
      "Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory," Joe Berlinger and Bruce Sinofsky #2
      "Pina," Wim Wenders and Gian-Piero Ringel
      "Undefeated," TJ Martin, Dan Lindsay and Richard Middlemas

      Best Documentary — Short Subject X Incorrect
      "The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement," Robin Fryday and Gail Dolgin
      "God Is the Bigger Elvis," Rebecca Cammisa and Julie Anderson
      "Incident in New Baghdad,"James Spione
      "Saving Face," Daniel Junge and Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy #2
      "The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom," Lucy Walker and Kira Carstensen

      Best Film Editing X Incorrect
      "The Artist," Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius #2
      "The Descendants," Kevin Tent
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
      "Hugo," Thelma Schoonmaker
      "Moneyball," Christopher Tellefsen

      Best Foreign Language Film X Incorrect
      "Bullhead," Belgium
      "Footnote," Israel
      "In Darkness," Poland
      "Monsieur Lazhar," Canada
      "A Separation," Iran #2
      Originally predicted "A Separation," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Makeup √ Correct
      "Albert Nobbs," Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew W. Mungle
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomblin  #2
      "The Iron Lady," Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland
      Originalyl predicted "Harry Potter," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Music — Original Score √ Correct
      "The Adventures of Tintin," John Williams
      "The Artist," Ludovic Bource 
      "Hugo," Howard Shore #2
      "Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy," Alberto Iglesias
      "War Horse," John Williams

      Best Music — Original Song √ Correct
      "Man or Muppet," from "The Muppets," Music and Lyric by Bret McKenzie
      "Real in Rio," from "Rio," Music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown Lyric by Siedah Garrett

      Best Short Film — Animated √ Correct
      "Dimanche/Sunday," Patrick Doyon
      "The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore," William Joyce and Brandon Oldenburg
      "La Luna," Enrico Casarosa  #2
      "A Morning Stroll," Grant Orchard and Sue Goffe
      "Wild Life," Amanda Forbis and Wendy Tilby
      Originally predicted "La Luna," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Short Film — Live Action X Incorrect
      "Pentecost," Peter McDonald and Eimear O'Kane
      "Raju," Max Zähle and Stefan Gieren #2 
      "The Shore," Terry George and Oorlagh George
      "Time Freak," Andrew Bowler and Gigi Causey
      "Tuba Atlantic," Hallvar Witzø
      Originally predicted "The Shore," as of Jan. 24.

      Best Sound Editing X Incorrect
      "Drive," Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," Ren Klyce #2
      "Hugo," Philip Stockton and Eugene Gearty
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahl
      "War Horse," Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom

      Best Sound Mixing X Incorrect
      "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo," David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson
      "Hugo," Tom Fleischman and John Midgley
      "Moneyball," Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, Dave Giammarco and Ed Novick
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin #2
      "War Horse," Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson and Stuart Wilson

      Best Visual Effects X Incorrect
      "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2," Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson #2
      "Hugo," Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning
      "Real Steel," Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor and Swen Gillberg
      "Rise of the Planet of the Apes," Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett 
      "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew Butler and John Frazier
      Originally predicted "Harry Potter," as of Jan. 24. 

      The 84th Academy Awards were televised LIVE on ABC Sunday, Feb. 26, 2012, at 5:30 p.m. PT. Read James' ceremony review. The Red Carpet arrivals show, again extended to 90 minutes, began at 4 p.m. PT. Read our fashion review.

      Take a look at 2011's Prediction Central recap. Please share your thoughts by commenting on this post or on Facebook or interacting with us on Twitter.




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      The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight: Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards
      Recap: Prediction Central 2012 - 84th Academy Awards
      Welcome to Prediction Central 2012, the place for prognostications about the 83 Academy Awards. Find Editor James A. Molnar's predictions, along with the actual winners, announced on Feb. 26.
      The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight
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