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Oscars 2020: Final predictions (92nd Academy Awards) - updated

Here are editor James A. Molnar's final predictions for the 92nd Academy Awards. In short, some surprises await us on Oscar Sunday.


When the envelopes are opened Sunday night at the Dolby Theatre, there could be more than one surprise awaiting the audience at the 92nd Academy Awards, especially for Best Picture.

Download our 2020 Oscars ballot
With the most nominations of the year, at 11, just how many awards will “Joker” take home?

I'm predicting at least two for the comic book origin story, especially for actor Joaquin Phoenix and composer Hildur Guðnadóttir. Will the film walk away with any more Oscars?

Could "Once Upon a time… in Hollywood" be a spoiler for Best Picture, which "1917" and "Parasite" seem to be battling for? There’s a chance, especially with the preferential ballot employed for the top category by the Academy’s accounting firm, PwC. I'm predicting "1917" takes home the most statuettes, with six.

"Parasite" could make history. It's the eleventh non-English language film nominated for Best Picture and the sixth to be nominated for both International Feature Film (formerly Foreign Language Film) and Best Picture in the same year. Each of the previous five ("Z," 1969; "Life Is Beautiful," 1998; "Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon," 2000; "Amour," 2012; "Roma," 2018) won for Foreign Language Film but not Best Picture.




We'll all find out Sunday night. In the meantime, we're here to help you win your Oscar pool or ballot  contest.

Here are my final predictions (and the possible spoilers):

Final Tally Predictions
"Joker" – 2 wins out of 11 nominations  √ Correct
"The Irishman" – 0 out of 10  √ Correct
"1917" – 6 out of 10   3 out of 10 
"Once upon a Time… in Hollywood" – 2 out of 10  √ Correct
"Jojo Rabbit" – 1 out of 6  √ Correct
"Little Women" – 1 out of 6  √ Correct
"Marriage Story" – 1 out of 6  √ Correct
"Parasite" – 2 out of 6   4 out of 6 
"Ford v Ferrari" (Walt Disney) – 1 out of 4   2 out of 10 
"Bombshell" (Lionsgate) – 1 out of 3  √ Correct
"Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker" – 0 out of 3  √ Correct
"The Two Popes" – 0 out of 3  √ Correct
"Harriet" – 0 out of 2  √ Correct
"Honeyland" – 0 out of 2  √ Correct
"Judy" – 1 out of 2  √ Correct
"Pain and Glory" – 0 out of 2  √ Correct
"Toy Story 4" – 1 out of 2  √ Correct

— FINAL: 21 out of 24 (88%) —
Past Record:
91st in 2019: 18 out of 24 (75%)
90th in 2018: 18 out of 24 (75%)
89th in 2017: 14 out of 24 (58%)
88th in 2016: 19 out of 24 (79%)
87th in 2015: 19 out of 24 (79%)
86th in 2014: 21 out of 24 (88%)
85th in 2013: 16 out of 24 (67%)

Best Picture X Incorrect
“Ford v Ferrari”
   Peter Chernin, Jenno Topping and James Mangold, Producers
“The Irishman”
   Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal and Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Producers
“Jojo Rabbit”
   Carthew Neal and Taika Waititi, Producers
“Joker”
   Todd Phillips, Bradley Cooper and Emma Tillinger Koskoff, Producers
“Little Women”
   Amy Pascal, Producer
“Marriage Story”
   Noah Baumbach and David Heyman, Producers
“1917”
   Sam Mendes, Pippa Harris, Jayne-Ann Tenggren and Callum McDougall, Producers
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood”
   David Heyman, Shannon McIntosh and Quentin Tarantino, Producers
“Parasite”
   Kwak Sin Ae and Bong Joon Ho, Producers
Spoilers: “Parasite” or “Once upon a Time...in Hollywood”

Best Directing X Incorrect
“The Irishman,” Martin Scorsese
“Joker,” Todd Phillips
“1917,” Sam Mendes
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Quentin Tarantino
“Parasite,” Bong Joon Ho
Spoiler: Bong Joon Ho

Best Actor in a Leading Role √ Correct
Antonio Banderas, “Pain and Glory”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Once upon a Time...in Hollywood”
Adam Driver, “Marriage Story”
Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker”
Jonathan Pryce, “The Two Popes”

Best Actress in a Leading Role √ Correct
Cynthia Erivo, “Harriet”
Scarlett Johansson, “Marriage Story”
Saoirse Ronan, “Little Women”
Charlize Theron, “Bombshell”
Renée Zellweger, “Judy”

Best Supporting Actor √ Correct
Tom Hanks, “A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood”
Anthony Hopkins, “The Two Popes”
Al Pacino, “The Irishman”
Joe Pesci, “The Irishman”
Brad Pitt, “Once upon a Time...in Hollywood”

Best Supporting Actress √ Correct
Kathy Bates, “Richard Jewell”
Laura Dern, “Marriage Story”
Scarlett Johansson, “Jojo Rabbit”
Florence Pugh, “Little Women”
Margot Robbie, “Bombshell”

Best Writing – Adapted Screenplay √ Correct
“The Irishman,” Screenplay by Steven Zaillian
“Jojo Rabbit,” Screenplay by Taika Waititi
“Joker,” Written by Todd Phillips & Scott Silver
“Little Women,” Written for the screen by Greta Gerwig
“The Two Popes,” Written by Anthony McCarten
Spoiler: “Little Women”

Best Writing – Original Screenplay √ Correct
“Knives Out,” Written by Rian Johnson
“Marriage Story,” Written by Noah Baumbach
“1917,” Written by Sam Mendes & Krysty Wilson-Cairns
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Written by Quentin Tarantino
“Parasite,” Screenplay by Bong Joon Ho, Han Jin Won; Story by Bong Joon Ho
Spoiler: “Once upon a Time…”

Best Animated Feature Film √ Correct
“How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World,” Dean DeBlois, Bradford Lewis and Bonnie Arnold
“I Lost My Body,” Jérémy Clapin and Marc du Pontavice
“Klaus,” Sergio Pablos, Jinko Gotoh and Marisa Román
“Missing Link,” Chris Butler, Arianne Sutner and Travis Knight
“Toy Story 4,” Josh Cooley, Mark Nielsen and Jonas Rivera
Spoiler: “Klaus”

Best Cinematography √ Correct
“The Irishman,” Rodrigo Prieto
“Joker,” Lawrence Sher
“The Lighthouse,” Jarin Blaschke
“1917,” Roger Deakins
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Robert Richardson

Best Costume Design √ Correct
“The Irishman,” Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson
“Jojo Rabbit,” Mayes C. Rubeo
“Joker,” Mark Bridges
“Little Women,” Jacqueline Durran
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Arianne Phillips
Spoiler: “Once upon a Time…”

Best Documentary – Feature √ Correct
“American Factory,” Steven Bognar, Julia Reichert and Jeff Reichert
“The Cave,” Feras Fayyad, Kirstine Barfod and Sigrid Dyekjær
“The Edge of Democracy,” Petra Costa, Joanna Natasegara, Shane Boris and Tiago Pavan
“For Sama,” Waad al-Kateab and Edward Watts
“Honeyland,” Ljubo Stefanov, Tamara Kotevska and Atanas Georgiev
Spoiler: “Honeyland” or “For Sama”

Best Documentary – Short Subject √ Correct
“In the Absence,” Yi Seung-Jun and Gary Byung-Seok Kam
“Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl),” Carol Dysinger and Elena Andreicheva
“Life Overtakes Me,” John Haptas and Kristine Samuelson
“St. Louis Superman,” Smriti Mundhra and Sami Khan
“Walk Run Cha-Cha,” Laura Nix and Colette Sandstedt
Spoiler: “St. Louis Superman”

Best Film Editing √ Correct
“Ford v Ferrari,” Michael McCusker and Andrew Buckland
“The Irishman,” Thelma Schoonmaker
“Jojo Rabbit,” Tom Eagles
“Joker,” Jeff Groth
“Parasite,” Yang Jinmo
Spoiler: “Parasite”

Best International Feature Film √ Correct
“Corpus Christi” (Poland)
“Honeyland” (North Macedonia)
“Les Misérables” (France)
“Pain and Glory” (Spain)
“Parasite” (South Korea)
Spoiler: “Pain and Glory”

Best Makeup & Hairstyling √ Correct
“Bombshell” Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan and Vivian Baker
“Joker” Nicki Ledermann and Kay Georgiou
“Judy” Jeremy Woodhead
“Maleficent: Mistress of Evil” Paul Gooch, Arjen Tuiten and David White
“1917” Naomi Donne, Tristan Versluis and Rebecca Cole
Spoiler: “Joker”

Best Music – Original Score √ Correct
“Joker,” Hildur Guðnadóttir
“Little Women,” Alexandre Desplat
“Marriage Story,” Randy Newman
“1917,” Thomas Newman
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” John Williams
Spoiler: “1917”

Best Music – Original Song √ Correct
“I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away” from “Toy Story 4”
   Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
“(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again” from “Rocketman”
   Music by Elton John; Lyric by Bernie Taupin
“I'm Standing With You” from “Breakthrough”
   Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
“Into The Unknown” from “Frozen II”
   Music and Lyric by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
“Stand Up” from “Harriet”
   Music and Lyric by Joshuah Brian Campbell and Cynthia Erivo
Spoiler: “Stand Up”

Best Production Design √ Correct
“The Irishman,” Bob Shaw & Regina Graves
“Jojo Rabbit,” Ra Vincent & Nora Sopková
“1917,” Dennis Gassner & Lee Sandales
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Barbara Ling & Nancy Haigh
“Parasite,” Lee Ha Jun & Cho Won Woo
Spoiler: “1917”

Best Short Film – Animated √ Correct
“Dcera (Daughter),” Daria Kashcheeva
“Hair Love,” Matthew A. Cherry and Karen Rupert Toliver
“Kitbull,” Rosana Sullivan and Kathryn Hendrickson
“Memorable,” Bruno Collet and Jean-François Le Corre
“Sister,” Siqi Song
Spoiler: “Kitbull”

Best Short Film – Live Action √ Correct
“Brotherhood,” Meryam Joobeur and Maria Gracia Turgeon
“Nefta Football Club,” Yves Piat and Damien Megherbi
“The Neighbors’ Window,” Marshall Curry
“Saria,” Bryan Buckley and Matt Lefebvre
“A Sister,” Delphine Girard
Spoiler: “Brotherhood” or “Nefta”

Best Sound Editing X Incorrect
“Ford v Ferrari,” Donald Sylvester
“Joker,” Alan Robert Murray
“1917,” Oliver Tarney and Rachael Tate
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Wylie Stateman
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” Matthew Wood and David Acord
Spoiler: “Ford v Ferrari”

Best Sound Mixing √ Correct
“Ad Astra,” Gary Rydstrom, Tom Johnson and Mark Ulano
“Ford v Ferrari,” Paul Massey, David Giammarco and Steven A. Morrow
“Joker,” Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic and Tod Maitland
“1917,” Mark Taylor and Stuart Wilson
“Once upon a Time...in Hollywood,” Michael Minkler, Christian P. Minkler and Mark Ulano
Spoiler: “Ford v Ferrari”

Best Visual Effects √ Correct
“Avengers: Endgame”
   Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken and Dan Sudick
“The Irishman”
   Pablo Helman, Leandro Estebecorena, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser and Stephane Grabli
“The Lion King”
   Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Elliot Newman
“1917”
   Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler and Dominic Tuohy
“Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker”
   Roger Guyett, Neal Scanlan, Patrick Tubach and Dominic Tuohy
Spoiler: “Avengers”


The 92nd Academy Awards, for outstanding film achievements of 2019, will be presented on Sunday, February 9, 2020, at the Dolby Theatre at Hollywood & Highland Center, and will be televised live on ABC and in more than 225 countries worldwide.

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Lopez,3,Kristen Bell,1,kristen stewart,1,Kristin Chenoweth,2,Kristy Guevara-Flanagan,1,Kristyn Burtt,7,Labor Day,1,lady gaga,1,LAMB,4,LAMMYs,3,Lana Wachowski,1,lara spencer,4,Large Association of Movie Blogs,3,larry fong,1,Lars von Trier,1,Las Vegas,1,last stand,1,last vegas,1,late night,1,launch,1,Lauren Mark,1,lawless,1,leadership,2,lee daniels,1,lego,2,leonardo dicaprio,1,les jeunes de paris,1,les miserables,2,Leslie Mann,1,leszczewicz,23,Let It Go,1,letterman,2,liam neeson,2,liberty theatre,1,life of pi,2,lincoln,1,linwood dunn theater,1,live,29,live action short,15,live with kelly,3,locations,1,lockdown,2,logo,2,lone survivor,1,look back,1,Looper,1,lord of the rings,3,lottery,8,lowendick,15,luc besson,1,luncheon,13,lupita,1,luz pena,1,macfarlane,1,Maggie Gyllenhaal,1,maggie simpson,1,Maggie Smith,1,makeup,8,makeup and hairstyling,6,maleficent,5,mama,1,man of steel,1,Mandela,1,mansfield,1,marc friedland,1,march madness,1,marilyn monroe,1,Mark Ruffalo,1,mark wahlberg,2,marlon brando,1,marquette tribune,1,martin freeman,3,martin scorsese,1,marvel,8,mary poppins,1,Maureen O’Hara,2,may 4,5,mccue,1,McG,1,mcginnis,1,media,9,meet the oscars,2,meeting,2,megan fox,1,Megan Telles,6,Melancholia,1,Melissa McCarthy,3,membership,11,men in black,1,Meryl Streep,5,mesa verde,1,Michael B. Seligman,1,michael bay,3,michael caine,1,michael fassbender,2,Michael Gold,1,michael moore,1,michael shannon,1,Michael Strahan,3,Michele Josue,1,Mike Myers,1,military,1,Milk,2,Milo Ventimiglia,1,Minions,1,mitchell,2,mo'nique,1,molnar,216,monsieur lazhar,1,monsters,1,monsters ball,1,monsters university,2,moonlit studios,1,moonrise kingdom,1,morgan freeman,3,mountains,1,Movie,3,Movie 43,1,movies,164,mtvU,11,mtvU.com,6,muppets,1,muppets most wanted,1,murphy,3,music,21,musical,8,Must List,1,myhre,1,natalie portman,1,national board of review,1,nbc,5,need for speed,1,needham,3,Neighbors,1,neil meron,14,neil patrick harris,12,Neill Blomkamp,1,Neve Campbell,1,Never Too Early Movie Predictions,1,new address,1,New York,3,New York Times,2,news roundup,13,Nick Robinson,1,Nickelodeon,6,nicole kidman,1,Nielsen,1,night at the museum,1,Nikki Finke,1,noah,2,nominations,82,nominees,44,non-stop,1,noomi rapace,1,norah jones,2,not another happy ending,2,november man,1,Now You See Me,1,numberless,1,nyfcc,1,obituary,4,oblivion,4,obsesson,1,Octavia Spencer,1,odd life,2,ohio,10,olympus has fallen,1,omaze,1,on the day,2,on the red carpet,11,on the waterfront,1,ona,2,one direction,1,open air theater,1,Open Heart,1,open letter,1,opening monologue,3,Oprah,7,orchestra,1,ordinary love,1,organization,2,original score,11,original song,22,oscar,3,Oscar Central,2,Oscar Concert,2,oscar Etiquette,1,oscar fan experience,2,Oscar Journey,1,oscar millionaire,1,oscar night america,1,oscar night american,2,oscar odds,11,Oscar pool,2,oscar race,1,oscar roadtrip,1,Oscar Special,3,Oscar Sunday,16,oscar update,19,oscar week,2,Oscar.com,15,Oscars,277,oscars 2014,4,oscars 2015,6,Oscars 2016,39,oscars outdoors,1,Oscars Twist,1,oscars.org,3,otrc,1,out of the furance,1,outside,2,Oz,1,Oz The Great and Powerful,1,pacific rim,2,pagosa springs,1,pain and gain,1,panel,1,paperman,3,paranormal activity,1,Parker,1,party,1,patrick doyle,1,patton oswalt,2,Paul Giamatti,1,Paul Shoulberg,1,PDF,71,Pennebaker,3,performance,12,performers,19,perks of being a wallflower,1,perry janes,2,Peter Facinelli,1,Peter Gabriel,1,peter jackson,5,pharrell williams,2,philomena,1,photos,16,pierce brosnan,1,Piero Tosi,2,Pink,1,Pink Panther,1,pixar,2,planes,5,planet of the apes,3,playing for keeps,1,podcast,2,Polich Tallix,1,poll,1,pool,1,pop culture,4,pop-up shop,2,poster,4,pre-show,4,prediction central,41,predictions,63,premium rush,2,preparations,6,presenters,17,preservation,1,president,3,President Tuxedo,1,press room,1,preview,14,primetime emmys,17,print,2,printable,67,prisoners,2,prizes,1,producer,4,producers,19,production design,14,production designer,14,profile,1,programming,2,Project Runway,1,promotions,10,pros,1,q and a,1,Quartet,1,Queen Latifah,1,quick,15,quiz,2,R.S. Owens,2,radio,7,Randy Haberkamp,3,ratings,2,Ratner,1,Ray Dolby Ballroom,3,Ray Romano,1,reactions,4,recap,8,Red 2,1,red carpet,62,red dawn,1,Reginald Hudlin,2,Regis Philbin,1,reminder list,15,reporters,3,resident evil,1,results,6,Rethink.,1,review,177,Richard Ayoade,1,Richard Linklater,1,Richard Wagner,1,ricky gervais,3,ridley scott,2,rio 2,1,rise of guardians,1,rise of the planet of the apes,1,road to nominations,21,roadtrip,1,rob epstein,1,Rob Marshall,1,Robert Downey Jr,2,Robert Lopez,3,Robert Morton,1,Robert Osborne,1,Robert Stromberg,1,Robert Zemeckis,1,robertson,2,Robin Roberts,4,robin swicord,1,robin williams,1,robocop,1,robots,1,Rockwell Group,1,Roger Ebert,2,romcom,1,ron howard,1,rosamund pike,1,rosen,1,roskam,1,round table,1,Royce Hall,1,RSS,1,rules,9,rumor,1,rush,1,Russell Crowe,4,ryan gosling,1,ryan seacrest,2,sag awards,16,sailcloth,1,Sally Field,2,samsara,1,samuel goldwyn theater,13,Samuel L. Jackson,2,Sandra Bullock,3,Santa Monica Civic Auditorium,1,Sarah,1,saturday night live,1,Savannah Guthrie,1,saving mr. banks,4,Scarlett Johannson,2,scary movie,1,schedule,4,sci-fi,6,scitech,5,score,2,screen actors guild,15,screeners,1,secret,1,secret life of walter mitty,2,Seligman,1,semi-finalists,2,Sequoia Productions,1,set,4,set design,14,seth macfarlane,5,seth meyers,1,Seth Rogen,1,setup,3,shame,1,shawshank trail,2,shooting,2,shortlist,96,shorts,30,Sid Ganis,5,side effects,1,Sidney Poitier,1,silver linings,2,silver linings playbook,1,sin city,1,skyfall,3,skype,2,sleeping beauty,1,slider,8,Slumdog Millionaire,4,SNL,6,sofia coppola,1,somewhere,1,Son of Saul,1,sony pictures,1,Sound of Music,1,soundtrack,2,space,3,space opera,1,sparkle,1,special event,3,special guests,2,spencer,1,spider-man,1,Spielberg,3,Spike Lee,1,spotify,2,spreecast,3,Stanley Weber,1,star,1,star at the movies,99,Star Trek,2,star wars,2,statistics,4,statuette,11,step up revolution,1,stephen king,1,Stephenie Meyer,1,steve bass,1,Steve Carell,1,steve jobs,1,Steve Martin,3,Steven Soderbergh,1,Stevens,3,store,1,streaming,1,student academy awards,6,students,3,submissions,6,submitted,4,Sugar Man,1,summer,43,summer movies,51,super 8,1,superman,1,sweepstakes,1,Sylvester Stallone,1,symposiums,4,Taken 2,1,tally,6,tammy,1,tbt,2,TCM,1,team oscar,4,technology,2,ted,1,teenage mutant ninja turtles,2,telecast,94,television,7,television academy,1,telluride,2,thank you,1,That Awkward Moment,1,thats my boy,1,the artist,1,the avengers,3,the best man holiday,1,the butler,2,the buzz,5,the campaign,1,The Class,1,The counselor,1,the croods,3,the dark world,1,the Descendants,1,the drop,1,the fighter,1,the force awakens,1,the giver,1,the gold knight,5,the heat,1,the hobbit,8,The Host,1,the illusionist,1,the impossible,1,the king's speech,3,The LEGO movie,3,The Lone Ranger,3,the maze runner,1,The Moon Song,1,The Oscars,28,The Other Woman,1,The Public Transportation Snob,1,The Purge,1,The Reader,2,The Rock,1,the shawshank redemption,2,the smurfs,1,the social network,2,the view,1,the watch,1,The Winter Soldier,3,The Wrap,1,theatre,6,theme,4,this is the end,1,thor,3,thriller,6,throwback thursday,3,thrust stage,1,tiger boy,1,Tim Burton,1,Tim Gunn,1,timelapse,2,timeline,7,tina fey,9,Tina Gordon Chism,1,titanic,1,today show,1,toledo,81,toledo free press,110,tom brokaw,1,tom cruise,4,tom hanks,2,tom hardy,2,Tom Hooper,1,Tom Oyer,2,Tom Sherak,8,Tommy Lee Jones,3,tony awards,7,Top 10,15,top 3,3,toronto,3,total recall,2,tournament,1,trailer,1,train plane and automobile,1,Transcendence,1,transformation,2,transformers,2,transparency,1,travel,1,tree of life,1,trent reznor,1,tribute,1,tron,1,tron: legacy,1,trouble with the curve,2,true grit,1,turbo,1,tusk,1,tuxedo,1,tv,5,tv guide,1,twilight,1,Twitter,6,Ty Simpkins,1,Tyler Perry,2,tyson beckford,1,U2,2,UCLA,1,unexpected journey,1,united airlines,1,universal,1,university of michigan,2,USA Today,1,uzo aduba,2,vacation,2,venice,2,video,152,video on demand,3,Vince Vaughn,1,viola davis,1,Virginia Madsen,1,visual effects,15,VOD,1,voting,19,vulture,1,WALL-E,1,Wally Pfister,1,walmart,1,walt disney world,3,Walter,1,Wanda Sykes,1,Warm Bodies,1,warner bros.,2,Way Way Back,1,waynes world,1,website,5,wes anderson,1,what we know,4,white house,2,whitney houston,1,who wants to be a millionaire,1,whoopi goldberg,2,will ferrell,1,will smith,1,William H. Macy,1,william ross,1,winners,27,Wizard of Oz,2,wnwo,54,wnwo today,54,wolf of wall street,2,wolfgang puck,1,Wolverine,1,wonder woman,1,wonder women,1,wont back down,1,world,6,world war z,2,worlds end,1,wreck-it ralph,2,wspd,1,wtol,45,x-men,2,year in review,3,youre next,1,YouTube,97,Zac Efron,2,zach galifianakis,1,Zaineb Abdul-Nabi,1,Zap2It,1,zarafa,1,Zero Dark Thirty,1,zoe saldana,1,zombies,1,zug,2,
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The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight: Oscars 2020: Final predictions (92nd Academy Awards) - updated
Oscars 2020: Final predictions (92nd Academy Awards) - updated
Here are editor James A. Molnar's final predictions for the 92nd Academy Awards. In short, some surprises await us on Oscar Sunday.
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The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight
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