Oscars 2023: Records that could be broken and Vegas odds

We look into Oscar records that could be broken on March 12.

When winners are announced at the Dolby Theatre, there are a number of Oscar records that could be broken. 

We're predicting that “Everything Everywhere All at Once” will take home Best Picture and six other statuettes. If that happens, it will join an exclusive club. Only two Best Picture winners since 2009 taking home five or more statuettes (thank to Variety for the that stat).

Here are some other big records that could be broken (stats courtesy of ActionNetwork.com). 

John Williams could become the oldest winner of a competitive Oscar (age 91) if he wins for scoring “The Fabelmans” (the record is currently held by James Ivory and Anne Roth, who were both 89 at the time of their respective wins).

Ruth E. Carter could become the first African-American woman to win multiple Oscars if she wins Best Costume Design for “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (she previously won for the first installment of “Black Panther”); if she wins, Carter would also join a group of only 4 other African-Americans who have won 2 competitive Oscars (Denzel Washington, Willie D. Burton, Russel Williams II & Mahershala Ali).

The 95th Academy Awards could become the year when multiple Asian actors win in the same evening (Michelle Yeoh is nominated for Best Actress, Hong Chau and Stephanie Hsu are nominated for Best Supporting Actress, and Ke Huy Quan is nominated for Best Supporting Actor)

Michelle Yeoh could become a performer that wins for portraying the most characters in one movie if she wins for “Everything Everywhere All At Once” (there are over 70 versions of Yeoh’s character Evelyn, most of which are portrayed by Yeoh).

Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan could become the first actors to win for portraying Mandarin Chinese and Cantonese-speaking characters (their characters in “Everything Everywhere All At Once” speak Mandarin Chinese, Cantonese and English).

Alfonso Cuarón could break his tie with Walt Disney (4) and become the person with the most wins in distinct categories at the Oscars (he won for Best Film Editing, Best Director, Best Cinematography & Best Picture in the past, and this year he is nominated for Best Live Action Short for “Le Pupille”).

After becoming one of only five people to receive a competitive Oscar nomination (for Best Original Song “Applause”) in the same year of receiving an honorary Oscar from the Academy, Diane Warren could become the first woman to ever win both in the same year and only the second person ever to do so after Jerome Robbins who won an honorary Oscar the same year he won for co-directing “West Side Story” in 1961

Catherine Martin could extend her record as the most awarded Australian in the Oscars history. She won four Oscars in the past and she is nominated for 3 more Academy awards this year - Best Costume Design, Best Production Design & Best Picture for “Elvis.” 

Best Picture

“Avatar: The Way of Water” could break the record for the highest-grossing film to win Best Picture, which is currently held by “Titanic” (also directed by James Cameron). “Avatar: The Way of Water” could join "The Godfather II" & "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King" as a sequel that wins Best Picture.

Dede Gardener & Jeremy Kleiner, who co-produced “Women Talking” could tie the record for the most wins in the Best Picture category – three. (They won in the past for co-producing “12 Years A Slave” & “Moonlight.”) Dede Gardener could also extend her record as the most awarded woman in this category if “Women Talking” wins.

“All Quiet on the Western Front” could become the first German-speaking movie to win Best Picture; if it wins, it would also become only the second movie after "Parasite" to win Best Picture while also being nominated in the Best International Feature category. “All Quiet on the Western Front” could become Netflix’s first Best Picture win (the streaming service has been nominated in the Best Picture category eight times but has not won yet).

“Top Gun: Maverick” could also become the first sequel to win Best Picture without its predecessor being nominated in the past.

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett could join an elite group of only four other actresses that have won three or more Academy awards for acting (Meryl Streep, Ingrid Bergman, Frances McDormand and Katharine Hepburn) if she wins for “TÁR.”

Michelle Yeoh could become the first Malaysian to win an Oscar if she wins for “Everything Everywhere All At Once”; Yeoh could also become the first Southeast Asian actress to win in the Best Leading Actress category.

Ana de Armas could become the first Cuban to win the Oscar for an acting performance if she wins for “Blonde”; Ana de Armas would also become the first Latina ever to win in the Best Leading Actress category.

Andrea Riseborough could become the first actress to ever win the Best Actress Oscar without winning nor being nominated for any major precursors (Golden Globes, Critics Choice Awards, BAFTA Awards, SAG Awards). No actress has ever won without a previous nomination in at least one of the precursors.

Best Actor

Paul Mescal could become the youngest winner in the Best Actor category ever if he wins for “Aftersun.” (The record is currently held by Adrien Brody who was 29 at the time of his win for “The Pianist,” Mescal turned 27 on Feb. 2.) 

Brendan Fraser could become the first Canadian to win Best Actor if he wins for "The Whale" (Fraser holds dual Canadian-American Citizenship).

Best Supporting Actor

Judd Hirsch could become the oldest winner in the Best Supporting Actor category if he wins for “The Fabelmans” (the record is currently held by Christopher Plummer who was 82 at the time of his win for “The Beginners”, Hirsch is 87); Hirsch would also become the overall oldest person to win for an acting performance (Anthony Hopkins currently holds that record after winning for “The Father” in 2021 at the age of 83).

Ke Huy Quan could become the first Vietnam-born actor to win the Oscar for an acting performance if he wins for “Everything Everywhere All At Once.”

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett could become the first actor to ever win for a performance in the Marvel Cinematic Universe movie; Bassett could also become the first actress to win for a comic book film performance.

Hong Chau could become the first actress of a Vietnamese descent to win the Oscar for an acting performance if she wins for “The Whale.”

Stephanie Hsu could become to first actress of a Chinese descent to win the Oscar for an acting performance if she wins for “Everything Everywhere All At Once.” 

Best Director

If The Daniels win for co-directing “Everything Everywhere All At Once,” it would make them the third duo to win the Best Director Oscar (in 1961, Jerome Robbins & Robert Wise won for “West Side Story” and in 2007, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen won for “No Country for Old Men”).

Steven Spielberg could join an elite group of only three other directors (Billy Wilder, Jon Ford & Frank Capra) who won threee or more Oscars for directing if he wins for “The Fabelmans.” (Spielberg has won two times out of nine nominations – in 1999 for “Saving Private Ryan” and in 1994 for “Schindler’s List.”) Steven Spielberg could become the oldest winning director in this category if he wins for “The Fabelmans” (the record is currently held by Clint Eastwood who was 74 at the time of his victory for “Million Dollar Baby,” Spielberg is 76). 

Ruben Östlund could become the first Nordic director to win in this category if he wins for directing “The Triangle of Sadness”; Östlund is Swedish.

Best Animated Feature 

Pixar could extend its record as the studio with the most wins in this category. (The studio has won 11 Oscars and it is nominated again in 2023 for “Turning Red.”)

Best Cinematography 

Mandy Walker could become the first woman ever to win in the Best Cinematography category if she wins for “Elvis.”

Darius Khondji could become to first Iranian to win in this category if he wins for “Bardo, A False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths.”

Best International Feature

Belgium (“Close”) or Ireland (The Quiet Girl”) could win for the first time in the Best International Feature category.

Best Music (Original Score)

John Williams could become the oldest winner in this category if he wins for “The Fabelmans” (the record is currency held by Ennio Morricone who was 87 at the time of his win for “The Hateful Eight,” Williams is 91); Williams could also extend his record as the second most awarded composer in the category – he has won five times out of record-breaking 48 nominations.

Best Music (Original Song)

Diane Warren currently holds the record for the most nominations in the Best Original Song category without a win (14). This year, it could be Warren’s first victory if she wins for “Applause” from “Tell It Like a Woman,” 

Mitski could become the first artist of a Japanese descent to win in this category if she wins for co-writing “This is a Life” from “Everything Everywhere All At Once.”

Tems could become the first Nigerian to win an Oscar if she wins for co-writing Rihanna’s “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.”

Best Visual Effects

"Avatar" could join a group of only five other franchises (Indiana Jones, Middle Earth, Aliens, King Kong, Star Wars) that have won multiple Oscars in different years in this category if the second installment, “Avatar: The Way of Water,” wins (the first "Avatar" movie won the Best Visual Effects Oscar in 2010). 

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

If “Top Gun: Maverick” wins, that would make it the victory with the highest number of credited writers on a screenplay - five.

Kazuo Ishiguro could become the first writer of Japanese descent to win for writing if he wins for “Living.”

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)

Ruben Östlund could become the first Nordic writer to ever win in this category if he wins for writing “The Triangle of Sadness”; Östlund is Swedish.

Daniel Kwan could become the first writer of a Chinese descent to win if he wins for “Everything Everywhere All At Once.”

Vegas Odds

What films and artists are favored to win — at least by the oddsmakers in Las Vegas? 

See the odds for the favored winners (based on odds average), courtesy ActionNetwork.com and FanDuel. 

Best Picture

Nominee, Odds, Implied Probability

1. Everything Everywhere All At Once, -1200, 92.31%
2. The Banshees of Inisherin, +1600, 5.88%
3. All Quiet on the Western Front, +1800, 5.26%
4. Top Gun Maverick, +2900, 3.33%
5. The Fabelmans, +4200, 2.33%
6. Tar, +6500, 1.52%
7. Elvis, +8000, 1.23%
8. Avatar: The Way of Water, +10000, 0.99%
9. Triangle of Sadness, +10000, 0.99%
10. Women Talking, +10000, 0.99%

Best Director

1. Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once), -1800, 94.74%
2. Steve Spielberg (The Fabelmans), +850, 10.53%
3. Todd Field (Tar), +2900, 3.33%
4. Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), +3500, 2.78%
5. Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness), +6500, 1.52%

Best Actor

1. Brendan Fraser (The Whale), -170, 62.96%
2. Austin Butler (Elvis), +130, 43.48%
3. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), +1100, 8.33%
4. Paul Mescal (Aftersun), +4100, 2.38%
5. Bill Nighy (Living), +8000, 1.23%

Best Actress

1. Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once), -210, 67.74%
2. Cate Blanchett (Tar), +145, 40.82%
3. Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie), +3400, 2.86%
4. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans), +4200, 2.33%
5. Ana de Armas (Blonde), +8000, 1.23%

Best Supporting Actor

1. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once), -2000, 95.24%
2. Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin), +1400, 6.67%
3. Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin), +1800, 5.26%
4. Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans), +3400, 2.86%
5. Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway), +4200, 2.33%

Best Supporting Actress

1. Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once), +120, 45.45%
2. Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), +145, 40.82%
3. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin), +185, 35.09%
4. Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once), +3400, 2.86%
5. Hong Chau (The Whale), +3400, 2.86%

Other categories

• Best Original Screenplay: 
• Everything Everywhere All At Once, -190, 65.52%
• The Banshees of Inisherin, +145, 40.82%
• Best Adapted Screenplay:
• Women Talking, -250, 71.43%
• All Quiet on the Western Front, +180, 35.71%
• Best Animated Feature: 
• Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio, -2000, 95.24%
• Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, +1300, 7.14%
• Best Documentary Feature:
• Navalny, -250, 71.43%
• Fire of Love, +370, 21.28%
• Best International Feature:
• All Quiet on the Western Front, -3500, 97.22%
• Argentina 1985, +1000, 9.09%
• Best Film Editing:
• Everything Everywhere All At Once, -240, 66.1%
• Top Gun Maverick, +185, 36.36%
• Best Cinematography:
• All Quiet on the Western Front, -430, 81.13%
• Elvis, +340, 22.73%
• Best Visual Effects:
• Avatar: The Way of Water, -2000, 95.24%
• Top Gun Maverick, +1400, 6.67%
• Best Production Design:
• Babylon, -280, 73.68%
• Elvis, +300, 25%
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
• Elvis, -225, 69.23%
• The Whale, +150, 40%
• Best Costume Design:
• Elvis, -190, 65.52%
• Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, +200, 33.33%
• Best Original Score:
• Babylon, -150, 60%
• All Quiet on the Western Front, +145, 40.82%
• Best Sound:
• Top Gun Maverick, -400, 80%
• All Quiet on the Western Front, +360, 21.74%
• Best Original Song:
• Naatu Naatu (RRR), -500, 83.33%
• Lift Me Up (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), +470, 17.54%
• Best Animated Short:
• The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horses, -280, 73.68%
• Ice Merchants, +350, 22.22%
• Best Live-Action Short:
• An Irish Goodbye, +100, 50%
• Le Pupille, +150, 40%
• Best Documentary Short:
• The Elephant Whisperers, -165, 62.26%
• Stranger at the Gate, +200, 33.33%

The 95th Academy Awards, for outstanding film achievements of 2022, will be presented on Sunday, March 12, 2023, at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood (formerly Hollywood & Highland Center), and will be televised live on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide.