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Oscars 2024: Nominations predictions – ‘Barbenheimer,’ ‘Poor Things’ and ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’ to dominate (updated)

Here are our Oscar Nominations predictions for the 96th Academy Awards.

A grid of posters of movies predicted to be nominated at the 2024 Oscars

Awards season is in full swing and all of the buzz has been leading up to this: Oscar Nominations. 

We've seen the nominations from guilds including the Screen Actors Guild, plus the British Academy and winners from the Critics Choice Awards and Golden Globe Awards (even if the latter doesn't quite predict the Oscars). Members of The Academy will weigh in Tuesday morning with their thoughts.

Until then, here's what we think will be nominated, but we're always ready for a pleasant surprise…


Update
Following Oscars nominations announcement on Jan. 23, we updated our predictions with the results below.



How will ‘Barbenheimer’ do?
The Academy announced shortlists for 10 categories in December, which gave us some insight into what films were one step closer to nominations. 

According to that list, "Barbie" has three eligible Original Songs, though per Oscars rules, only two songs can be nominated from any one given movie. It’s likely that two of the three songs will be nominated.

On the shortlist, "Barbie" made the cut for Original Song, Original Score and Sound. Considering the other categories, it can receive nominations in up to 14 total categories, though that's unlikely. 

We're predicting "Barbie" will receive 10 nominations: 8 nominations
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress (Margot Robbie)
  • Best Supporting Actor (Ryan Gosling)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Song (x2)
    • "What Was I Made For?"
    • "I'm Just Ken"

According to the shortlists, "Oppenheimer" made the cut for Makeup and Hairstyling, Original Score and Sound. It also can receive nominations in up to 14 total categories, also unlikely (but more probable than "Barbie").

We're predicting "Oppenheimer" will receive 12 nominations: 13 nominations
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actor (Cillian Murphy)
  • Best Supporting Actor (Robert Downey Jr.)
  • Best Supporting Actress (Emily Blunt)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Cinematography
  • + Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Score
  • Best Sound

14 nominations
Receiving 14 nominations is something only three films have ever done it: "All about Eve" for 1950 (going on to win 6 awards), "Titanic" for 1997 (11 awards), and "La La Land" for 2016 (6 awards).

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” was the big winner of the night last year, taking home seven total Oscars, including Best Picture, out of a possible 11 nominations. The film won more above-the-line Oscars than any movie ever in the Oscars’ 95-year history.

While it's possible, we don't think a film from 2023 will get to 14 nominations. 

However, there is a record that could happen on Oscars Nominations morning: Four movies earning more than 10 nominations each. This would be only the second time for this to happen. The first time was in 2019 with "The Irishman," "Joker," Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" and "1917" each had double digits, though they all lost Best Picture to "Parasite."

Here are the other two movie we think we'll get double digits... 



Predicting the top nominated films
The big film of the morning we're predicting is going to be "Poor Things." The Emma Stone-starring comedy could reach up to 13 nominations if her co-stars also receive nominations. We're predicting nominations for Mark Ruffalo and Willem Dafoe in the Supporting Actor category. We're also thinking it will do well throughout the other categories.

We're predicting "Poor Things" will receive 13 nominations11 nominations
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress (Emma Stone)
  • Best Supporting Actor (x2)
    • Willem Dafoe
    • Mark Ruffalo
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Score
  • Best Visual Effects

The other big film of the morning should be "Killers of the Flower Moon." The Martin Scorsese drama could hit double digits, reaching up to 11 nominations. 

We're predicting "Killers of the Flower Moon" will receive 11 nominations10 nominations
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director
  • Best Actress (Lily Gladstone)
  • Best Supporting Actor (Robert De Niro)
  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Score
  • + Best Song: "Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)"
  • Best Sound

Those are our top four films. Now, let's look at the rest of the nominees.

And the nominees could be…
(Listing in favored order. The lower on the list, the less likely to be nominated)

Best Picture (10/10)
"Oppenheimer"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Poor Things"
"Barbie"
"The Holdovers"
"Past Lives"
"American Fiction"
"Anatomy of a Fall"
"The Zone of Interest"
"Maestro"

Best Director (3/5)
Christopher Nolan, "Oppenheimer"
Martin Scorsese, "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Greta Gerwig, "Barbie"
Yorgos Lanthimos, "Poor Things"
Alexander Payne, "The Holdovers"
+ “The Zone of Interest,” Jonathan Glazer
+ “Anatomy of a Fall,” Justine Triet

Best Actress (4/5)
Emma Stone, "Poor Things"
Lily Gladstone, "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Sandra Huller, "Anatomy of a Fall
Margot Robbie, "Barbie"
Carey Mulligan, "Maestro"
+ Annette Bening, "Nyad"

Best Actor (5/5)
Cillian Murphy, "Oppenheimer"
Paul Giamatti, "The Holdovers"
Bradley Cooper, "Maestro"
Jeffrey Wright, "American Fiction"
Colman Domingo, "Rustin"

Best Supporting Actress (4/5)
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, "The Holdovers"
Emily Blunt, "Oppenheimer"
Danielle Brooks, "The Color Purple"
Jodie Foster, "Nyad"
Julianne Moore, "May December"
+ America Ferrera, "Barbie"

Best Supporting Actor (4/5)
Robert Downey Jr., "Oppenheimer"
Ryan Gosling, "Barbie"
Robert De Niro, "Killers of the Flower Moon"
Willem Dafoe, "Poor Things"
Mark Ruffalo, "Poor Things"
+ Sterling K. Brown, "American Fiction"

Best Writing – Adapted Screenplay (4/5)
"Oppenheimer"
"Poor Things"
"American Fiction"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Barbie"
+ "The Zone of Interest"

Best Writing – Original Screenplay (5/5)
"The Holdovers"
"Past Lives"
"Anatomy of a Fall"
"May December"
"Maestro"

Best Animated Feature (4/5)
"Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse"
"How Do You Live"
"The Boy and the Heron"
"Elemental"
"Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem"
"Nimona"
+ "Robot Dreams"

Best Cinematography (4/5)
"Oppenheimer"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Poor Things"
"Maestro"
"The Zone of Interest"
+ "El Conde"

Best Costume Design (4/5)
"Barbie"
"Poor Things"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Napoleon"
"The Color Purple"
+ "Oppenheimer"

Best Documentary Feature (2/5)
"20 Days in Mariupol"
"American Symphony"
"Beyond Utopia"
"Four Daughters"
"Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie"
+ "Bobi Wine: The People's President"
+ "The Eternal Memory"
+ "To Kill a Tiger"

Best Documentary Short (3/5)
"The ABCs of Book Banning"
"The Last Repair Shop"
"Last Song from Kabul"
"The Barber of Little Rock"
"Deciding Vote"
+ "Island in Between"
+ "Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó"

Best Film Editing (4/5)
"Oppenheimer"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Poor Things"
"Barbie"
"The Holdovers"
+ "Anatomy of a Fall"

Best International Feature (2/5)
"The Zone of Interest"
"Society of the Snow"
"Fallen Leaves"
"The Taste of Things"
"20 Days in Mariupol"
+ "Io Capitano" (Italy)
+ "Perfect Days" (Japan)
+ "The Teachers' Lounge" (Germany)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (5/5)
"Maestro"
"Poor Things"
"Oppenheimer"
"Golda"
"Society of the Snow"

Best Music – Original Score (3/5)
"Oppenheimer"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"Poor Things"
"Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse"
"The Zone of Interest"
+ "American Fiction," Laura Karpman
+ "Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny," John Williams

Best Music – Original Song (3/5)
"Barbie" – "What Was I Made For?"
"Barbie" – "I'm Just Ken"
"Rustin" – "Road to Freedom"
"The Color Purple" – "Keep It Movin'"
"Flamin' Hot" – "The Fire Inside"
+ "It Never Went Away" from "American Symphony"
+ "Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)" from "Killers of the Flower Moon"

Best Production Design (4/5)
"Barbie"
"Poor Things"
"Oppenheimer"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
"The Color Purple"
+ "Napoleon"

Best Short Film – Animated (2/5)
"Once upon a Studio"
"Letter to a Pig"
"WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko"
"Pete"
"Eeva"
+ "Ninety-Five Senses"
+ "Our Uniform"
+ "Pachyderme"

Best Short Film – Live Action (2/5)
"The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar"
"The Anne Frank Gift Shop"
"The After"
"The Shepherd"
"Strange Way of Life"
+ "Invincible"
+ "Knight of Fortune"
+ "Red, White and Blue"

Best Sound (3/5)
"Oppenheimer"
"Maestro"
"The Zone of Interest"
"Ferrari"
"Killers of the Flower Moon"
+ "The Creator"
+ "Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One"

Best Visual Effects (3/5)
"Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3"
"The Creator"
"Poor Things"
"Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse"
"Godzilla Minus One"
+ "Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One"
+ "Napoleon"


Nominations will be unveiled Tuesday, Jan. 23, in a global live stream starting at 8:30 a.m. ET / 5:30 a.m. PT. You can watch the announcement right here on TheGoldKnight.com.

Artwork for the 2024 Oscars Nominations Announcement

The 96th Academy Awards, for outstanding film achievements of 2023, will be presented on Sunday, March 10, 2024, at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood, and will be televised live on ABC and in more than 200 territories worldwide.

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Theatre,13,kramer,2,Kristen Anderson Lopez,3,Kristen Bell,1,kristen stewart,1,Kristin Chenoweth,2,Kristy Guevara-Flanagan,1,Kristyn Burtt,7,Labor Day,1,lady gaga,1,LAMB,4,LAMMYs,3,Lana Wachowski,1,lara spencer,4,Large Association of Movie Blogs,3,larry fong,1,Lars von Trier,1,Las Vegas,1,last stand,1,last vegas,1,late night,1,launch,1,laura dern,1,Lauren Mark,1,lawless,1,leadership,2,lee daniels,1,lego,2,leonardo dicaprio,1,les jeunes de paris,1,les miserables,2,Leslie Mann,1,leszczewicz,23,Let It Go,1,letterman,2,liam neeson,2,liberty theatre,1,life of pi,2,lincoln,1,linwood dunn theater,1,live,34,live action short,19,live with kelly,5,locations,1,lockdown,3,logo,2,lone survivor,1,look back,1,Looper,1,lord of the rings,3,los angeles,1,lottery,10,lowendick,15,luc besson,1,luncheon,16,lupita,1,luz pena,1,macfarlane,1,Maggie Gyllenhaal,1,maggie simpson,1,Maggie Smith,1,makeup,12,makeup and hairstyling,11,maleficent,5,mama,1,man of steel,1,Mandela,1,mansfield,1,marc friedland,1,march madness,1,marilyn monroe,1,Mark Ruffalo,1,mark wahlberg,2,marlon brando,1,marquette tribune,1,martin freeman,3,martin scorsese,1,marvel,8,mary poppins,1,Maureen O’Hara,2,may 4,5,mccue,1,McG,1,mcginnis,1,media,9,meet the oscars,2,meeting,2,megan fox,1,Megan Telles,6,Melancholia,1,Melissa McCarthy,3,membership,12,men in black,1,Meryl Streep,5,mesa verde,1,Michael B. Seligman,1,michael bay,3,michael caine,1,michael fassbender,2,Michael Gold,1,michael moore,1,michael shannon,1,Michael Strahan,3,Michele Josue,1,Mike Myers,1,military,1,Milk,2,Milo Ventimiglia,1,Minions,1,mitchell,2,mo'nique,1,molnar,221,monsieur lazhar,1,monsters,1,monsters ball,1,monsters university,2,moonlit studios,1,moonrise kingdom,1,morgan freeman,3,mountains,1,Movie,3,Movie 43,1,movies,172,mtvU,11,mtvU.com,6,muppets,1,muppets most wanted,1,murphy,3,music,25,musical,8,Must List,1,myhre,1,natalie portman,1,national board of review,1,nbc,7,need for speed,1,needham,3,Neighbors,1,neil meron,14,neil patrick harris,12,Neill Blomkamp,1,Neve Campbell,1,Never Too Early Movie Predictions,1,new address,1,New York,3,New York Times,2,news roundup,13,Nick Robinson,1,Nickelodeon,9,nicole kidman,1,Nielsen,1,night at the museum,1,Nikki Finke,1,noah,2,nominations,112,nominees,56,non-stop,1,noomi rapace,1,norah jones,2,not another happy ending,2,november man,1,Now You See Me,1,numberless,1,nyfcc,1,obituary,4,oblivion,4,obsesson,1,Octavia Spencer,1,odd life,2,ohio,10,olympus has fallen,1,omaze,1,on the day,2,on the red carpet,11,on the waterfront,1,ona,2,one direction,1,open air theater,1,Open Heart,1,open letter,1,opening monologue,3,Oprah,7,orchestra,1,order,1,ordinary love,1,organization,2,original score,15,original song,27,oscar,3,Oscar Central,2,Oscar Concert,2,oscar Etiquette,1,oscar fan experience,2,Oscar Journey,1,oscar millionaire,1,oscar night america,1,oscar night american,2,oscar odds,12,Oscar pool,2,oscar race,1,oscar roadtrip,1,Oscar Special,3,Oscar Sunday,19,oscar update,19,oscar week,3,Oscar.com,15,Oscars,331,oscars 2014,4,oscars 2015,6,Oscars 2016,39,oscars outdoors,1,Oscars Twist,1,oscars.org,3,otrc,1,out of the furance,1,outside,2,Oz,1,Oz The Great and Powerful,1,pacific rim,2,pagosa springs,1,pain and gain,1,panel,1,paperman,3,paranormal activity,1,Parker,1,party,1,patrick doyle,1,patton oswalt,2,Paul Giamatti,1,Paul Shoulberg,1,PDF,117,Pennebaker,3,peoples choice,1,performance,13,performers,23,perks of being a wallflower,1,perry janes,2,Peter Facinelli,1,Peter Gabriel,1,peter jackson,5,pharrell williams,2,philomena,1,photos,19,pierce brosnan,1,Piero Tosi,2,Pink,1,Pink Panther,1,pixar,2,planes,5,planet of the apes,3,playing for keeps,1,podcast,3,Polich Tallix,1,poll,1,pool,1,pop culture,4,pop-up shop,2,poster,6,pre-show,5,prediction central,45,predictions,70,premium rush,2,preparations,6,presenters,20,preservation,1,president,3,President Tuxedo,1,press room,1,preview,14,primetime emmys,23,print,2,printable,103,prisoners,2,prizeo,1,prizes,1,producer,4,producers,20,production design,18,production designer,17,profile,1,programming,2,Project Runway,1,promotions,11,pros,1,q and a,1,Quartet,1,Queen Latifah,1,quick,15,quiz,2,R.S. Owens,2,radio,7,rainbow room,1,Randy Haberkamp,3,ratings,2,Ratner,1,Ray Dolby Ballroom,3,Ray Romano,1,reactions,4,recap,8,records,1,Red 2,1,red carpet,64,red dawn,1,Reginald Hudlin,2,Regis Philbin,2,reminder list,23,reporters,3,resident evil,1,results,6,Rethink.,1,review,179,Richard Ayoade,1,Richard Linklater,1,Richard Wagner,1,ricky gervais,3,ricky kirshner,1,ridley scott,2,rio 2,1,rise of guardians,1,rise of the planet of the apes,1,road to nominations,33,roadtrip,1,rob epstein,1,Rob Marshall,1,Robert Downey Jr,2,Robert Lopez,3,Robert Morton,1,Robert Osborne,1,Robert Stromberg,1,Robert Zemeckis,1,robertson,2,Robin Roberts,4,robin swicord,1,robin williams,1,robocop,1,robots,1,Rockwell Group,2,Roger Ebert,2,romcom,1,ron howard,1,rosamund pike,1,rosen,1,roskam,1,round table,1,Royce Hall,1,RSS,1,rules,11,rumor,1,rush,1,Russell Crowe,4,ryan gosling,1,ryan seacrest,3,sag awards,24,sailcloth,1,Sally Field,2,samsara,1,samuel goldwyn theater,13,Samuel L. Jackson,2,Sandra Bullock,3,Santa Monica Civic Auditorium,1,Sarah,1,saturday night live,1,Savannah Guthrie,1,saving mr. banks,4,Scarlett Johannson,2,scary movie,1,schedule,4,sci-fi,6,scitech,5,score,2,screen actors guild,23,screeners,1,secret,2,secret life of walter mitty,2,Seligman,1,semi-finalists,2,Sequoia Productions,1,set,7,set design,18,seth macfarlane,5,seth meyers,1,Seth Rogen,1,setup,3,shame,1,shawshank trail,2,shooting,2,shortlist,109,shorts,41,Sid Ganis,5,side effects,1,Sidney Poitier,1,silver linings,2,silver linings playbook,1,sin city,1,skyfall,3,skype,2,sleeping beauty,1,slider,8,Slumdog Millionaire,4,SNL,6,sofia coppola,1,somewhere,1,Son of Saul,1,sony pictures,1,sound,2,Sound of Music,1,soundtrack,2,space,3,space opera,1,sparkle,1,special event,6,special guests,2,spencer,1,spider-man,1,Spielberg,3,Spike Lee,1,spotify,2,spreecast,3,Stanley Weber,1,star,1,star at the movies,99,Star Trek,2,star wars,2,statistics,5,statuette,12,step up revolution,1,stephen king,1,Stephenie Meyer,1,steve bass,1,Steve Carell,1,steve jobs,1,Steve Martin,3,Steven Soderbergh,1,Stevens,3,store,2,streaming,1,student academy awards,6,students,3,submissions,6,submitted,4,Sugar Man,1,summer,43,summer movies,51,super 8,1,superman,1,sweepstakes,1,Sylvester Stallone,1,sylvia villagran,1,symposiums,5,Taken 2,1,tally,6,tammy,1,tbt,2,TCM,1,team oscar,4,technology,2,ted,1,teenage mutant ninja turtles,2,telecast,119,television,7,television academy,1,telluride,2,thank you,2,That Awkward Moment,1,thats my boy,1,the artist,1,the avengers,3,the best man holiday,1,the butler,2,the buzz,5,the campaign,1,The Class,1,The counselor,1,the croods,3,the dark world,1,the Descendants,1,the drop,1,the fighter,1,the force awakens,1,the giver,1,the gold knight,6,the heat,1,the hobbit,8,The Host,1,the illusionist,1,the impossible,1,the king's speech,3,The LEGO movie,3,The Lone Ranger,3,the maze runner,1,The Moon Song,1,The Oscars,35,The Other Woman,1,The Public Transportation Snob,1,The Purge,1,The Reader,2,The Rock,1,the shawshank redemption,2,the smurfs,1,the social network,2,the view,1,the watch,1,The Winter Soldier,3,The Wrap,1,theatre,7,theme,4,this is the end,1,thor,3,thriller,6,throwback thursday,3,thrust stage,1,tiger boy,1,Tim Burton,1,Tim Gunn,1,timelapse,2,timeline,11,tina fey,10,Tina Gordon Chism,1,titanic,1,today show,1,toledo,81,toledo free press,110,tom brokaw,1,tom cruise,4,tom hanks,3,tom hardy,2,Tom Hooper,1,Tom Oyer,2,Tom Sherak,8,Tommy Lee Jones,3,tony awards,8,Top 10,15,top 3,3,toronto,3,total recall,2,tournament,1,trailer,4,train plane and automobile,1,Transcendence,1,transformation,2,transformers,2,transparency,1,travel,1,tree of life,1,trent reznor,1,tribute,1,tron,1,tron: legacy,1,trouble with the curve,2,true grit,1,turbo,1,tusk,1,tuxedo,1,tv,5,tv guide,1,twilight,1,Twitter,6,Ty Simpkins,1,Tyler Perry,2,tyson beckford,1,U2,2,UCLA,1,unexpected journey,1,union station,1,united airlines,1,universal,1,university of michigan,2,USA Today,1,uzo aduba,2,vacation,2,venice,2,video,155,video on demand,3,Vince Vaughn,1,viola davis,1,Virginia Madsen,1,visual effects,19,VOD,1,voting,24,vulture,1,WALL-E,1,Wally Pfister,1,walmart,1,walt disney world,3,Walter,1,Wanda Sykes,1,Warm Bodies,1,warner bros.,2,Way Way Back,1,waynes world,1,website,5,wes anderson,1,what we know,4,white house,2,whitney houston,1,who wants to be a millionaire,1,whoopi goldberg,2,will ferrell,1,will smith,1,William H. Macy,1,william ross,1,winners,30,Wizard of Oz,2,wnwo,54,wnwo today,54,wolf of wall street,2,wolfgang puck,1,Wolverine,1,wonder woman,1,wonder women,1,wont back down,1,world,6,world war z,2,worlds end,1,wreck-it ralph,2,wspd,1,wtol,45,x-men,2,year in review,3,youre next,1,YouTube,97,Zac Efron,2,zach galifianakis,1,Zaineb Abdul-Nabi,1,Zap2It,1,zarafa,1,Zero Dark Thirty,1,zoe saldana,1,zombies,1,zug,2,
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The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight: Oscars 2024: Nominations predictions – ‘Barbenheimer,’ ‘Poor Things’ and ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’ to dominate (updated)
Oscars 2024: Nominations predictions – ‘Barbenheimer,’ ‘Poor Things’ and ‘Killers of the Flower Moon’ to dominate (updated)
Here are our Oscar Nominations predictions for the 96th Academy Awards.
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The Gold Knight - Latest Academy Awards news and insight
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